Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Valencia
26.9%
Draw
35.6%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Valencia
vs
1.31
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).