Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Stockport
18.6%
Draw
13.5%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Stockport
vs
0.81
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).