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DHT: 11CSV

16 Sept 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
Xanthi
35.3%
Draw
31.3%
Panetolikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Xanthi

vs
0.88

Panetolikos

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.510.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.7%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
13.9%
0-1
13.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).