Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Valenciennes
25.5%
Draw
39.8%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Valenciennes
vs
1.25
Amiens
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).