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30 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
Zorya Luhansk
28.4%
Draw
21.6%
Vorskla

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Zorya Luhansk

vs
0.81

Vorskla

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).