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DHT: 00

11 Aug 2024 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.4%
Lechia Gdańsk
23.6%
Draw
34.0%
Zagłębie Lubin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.66

Zagłębie Lubin

Markets

BTTS69.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
2-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).