Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Zaragoza
25.9%
Draw
44.1%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Zaragoza
vs
1.44
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).