Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Tenerife
28.6%
Draw
25.9%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Tenerife
vs
0.88
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).