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23 Oct 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Chaves
22.8%
Draw
61.2%
Gil Vicente

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Chaves

vs
1.69

Gil Vicente

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).