Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.6%
Bayern Munich
15.4%
Draw
11.0%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Bayern Munich
vs
1.07
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).