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DHT: 00CSV

10 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.6%
Apollon
25.1%
Draw
60.3%
OFI Crete

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Apollon

vs
1.75

OFI Crete

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).