Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Akhmat Grozny
38.5%
Draw
45.0%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Akhmat Grozny
vs
0.96
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS24.8%
Over 0.575.1%
Over 1.543.6%
Over 2.517.7%
Over 3.55.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.9%
0-1
21.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
5.3%
0-3
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
2-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-2
1.3%
0-4
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).