Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Ternana
26.0%
Draw
17.3%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Ternana
vs
0.85
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).