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23 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Accrington
18.6%
Draw
66.9%
Lincoln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Accrington

vs
2.03

Lincoln

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
0-4
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).