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16 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Pescara
27.2%
Draw
34.3%
Livorno

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Pescara

vs
1.39

Livorno

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).