Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Parma
32.4%
Draw
42.1%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Parma
vs
1.03
Lazio
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.0%
0-0
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).