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04 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.7%
Stockport
21.9%
Draw
25.4%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Stockport

vs
1.20

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).