Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.1%
Palermo
19.7%
Draw
9.2%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Palermo
vs
0.66
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).