Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Reggina
31.7%
Draw
18.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Reggina
vs
0.69
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).