Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
Liverpool
21.2%
Draw
11.4%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Liverpool
vs
0.81
Wolves
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).