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HHT: 11CSV

13 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Stenhousemuir
25.9%
Draw
43.9%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Stenhousemuir

vs
1.61

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).