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DHT: 00CSV

30 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.6%
Como
23.8%
Draw
14.6%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Como

vs
0.82

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).