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AHT: 01CSV

12 Jan 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Cordoba
21.5%
Draw
41.2%
Almeria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Cordoba

vs
1.89

Almeria

Markets

BTTS70.6%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
2-0
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).