Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Valladolid
26.5%
Draw
52.0%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Valladolid
vs
1.51
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.5%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).