Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Fleetwood Town
23.6%
Draw
20.9%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.90
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).