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26 Jul 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.4%
Piast Gliwice
30.3%
Draw
26.3%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Piast Gliwice

vs
0.96

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).