Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
St Johnstone
30.6%
Draw
35.1%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
St Johnstone
vs
1.10
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).