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28 Sept 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.2%
Preußen Münster
33.5%
Draw
38.4%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Preußen Münster

vs
1.09

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
13.7%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).