Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Sporting Gijón
19.4%
Draw
14.5%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.87
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).