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AHT: 01CSV

29 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Exeter

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.9%
AFC Wimbledon
26.8%
Draw
35.3%
Exeter

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

AFC Wimbledon

vs
1.08

Exeter

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).