Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Lugano
31.0%
Draw
30.0%
Basel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Lugano
vs
1.18
Basel
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).