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19 Jan 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.9%
Palermo
25.5%
Draw
14.6%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Palermo

vs
0.74

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).