Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Schalke 04
26.9%
Draw
39.9%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Schalke 04
vs
1.48
Hertha
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).