Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Oxford
28.2%
Draw
14.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Oxford
vs
0.62
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
13.4%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).