Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Crotone
28.5%
Draw
20.2%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Crotone
vs
0.86
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
13.0%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).