Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Empoli
25.0%
Draw
50.9%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Empoli
vs
1.56
Genoa
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).