Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.4%
Hibernian
16.3%
Draw
10.2%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Hibernian
vs
0.90
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).