Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Hull
25.6%
Draw
22.4%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Hull
vs
1.05
Luton
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).