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27 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.0%
Woodford Town
27.2%
Draw
19.8%
St Pauli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Woodford Town

vs
0.71

St Pauli

Markets

BTTS37.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).