Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Guingamp
23.3%
Draw
32.5%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Guingamp
vs
1.25
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).