Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Bielefeld
27.1%
Draw
25.4%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Bielefeld
vs
1.12
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).