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AHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2018

Barnet

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.5%
Morecambe
26.5%
Draw
50.0%
Barnet

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Morecambe

vs
1.38

Barnet

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).