Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Reggiana
32.6%
Draw
32.9%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Reggiana
vs
1.03
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).