Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.6%
Monaco
9.6%
Draw
4.8%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Monaco
vs
0.60
Dijon
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
4-0
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
5-0
5.7%
4-1
5.6%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
3.4%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).