Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Torquay
20.6%
Draw
65.6%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Torquay
vs
2.20
Notts County
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).