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19 Dec 2020 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Waregem
24.7%
Draw
42.8%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Waregem

vs
1.70

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).