Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Alaves
31.2%
Draw
28.7%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Alaves
vs
0.91
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).