Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Notts County
25.7%
Draw
37.0%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Notts County
vs
1.27
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).