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HHT: 10CSV

01 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.2%
Mouscron
25.1%
Draw
54.8%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Mouscron

vs
1.72

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
5.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).