Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Marseille
20.1%
Draw
25.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Marseille
vs
1.34
Lille
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).